Semi-Autonomous & Autonomous Bus Market by Level of Automation (Level 1, Level 2 & 3, Level 4, and Level 5), Propulsion (Diesel, Electric, and Hybrid), Application, ADAS Features, Sensor, and Region - Global Forecast to 2030

半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場予測(~2030):自動化レベル別、推進方式別、用途別、ADAS機能別、センサー別、地域別

◆タイトル:Semi-Autonomous & Autonomous Bus Market by Level of Automation (Level 1, Level 2 & 3, Level 4, and Level 5), Propulsion (Diesel, Electric, and Hybrid), Application, ADAS Features, Sensor, and Region - Global Forecast to 2030
◆商品コード:AT 7660
◆調査・発行会社:MarketsandMarkets
◆発行日:2020年5月25日
◆ページ数:195
◆レポート形式:PDF / 英語
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◆産業分野:自動車
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【レポートの概要】

MarketsandMarkets社は半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場が2024年7億9,100万ドルから2030年27億7,300万ドルまで、年平均23.2%成長すると見込んでいます。本調査レポートでは、半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場を詳細に調査・分析し、イントロダクション、調査手法、エグゼクティブサマリー、プレミアムインサイト、市場動向、政府規制・テストガイドライン、推進方式別(ディーゼル、電気、ハイブリッド)分析、用途別分析、ADAS機能別分析、自動化レベル別分析、センサー別分析、地域別分析、競争状況、企業概要などを含め、提供しております。
・イントロダクション
・調査手法
・エグゼクティブサマリー
・プレミアムインサイト
・市場動向
・政府規制・テストガイドライン
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:推進方式別(ディーゼル、電気、ハイブリッド)
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:用途別
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:ADAS機能別
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:自動化レベル別
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:センサー別
・半自律型バス・自律型バスの世界市場規模:地域別
・競争状況
・企業概要

“The increasing need for passenger and pedestrian safety, efficient public transport, reduction in CO2 emission, and government regulations related to safety features to drive the global semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market.”
The global semi-autonomous bus market size is projected to reach 71,682 units by 2025, from an estimated 23,613 units in 2020, at a CAGR of 24.9%. On the other hand, the global autonomous bus market size is projected to reach USD 2,773 million by 2030, from USD 791 million in 2024, at a CAGR of 23.2%. The advent of autonomous technology will have a significant impact on commercial vehicles, including buses.
The entry of autonomous buses in the automotive industry will change the way public transport is done across the world. The autonomous bus technology enhances safety, efficiency, and productivity. Autonomous buses can help decrease the number of road accidents significantly, thus increasing road safety in different scenarios or conditions. These vehicles follow the traffic rules and keep a distance from other vehicles. In this way, these vehicles would help decrease traffic congestion and increase efficiency and productivity.

“The effective first-mile to last-mile commuting would drive the autonomous shuttle segment in the forecast.”
The shuttle segment is expected to dominate the autonomous bus market, as these are already commercialized. Many companies such as Navya, EasyMile, and Local Motors have developed self-driving shuttles. Successful pilot programs of autonomous shuttles across the world are indicating that shuttles could be a practical solution to the gaps in traditional public transport. For instance, EasyMile, a French autonomous shuttle provider, claims to have deployed the most number of such shuttles globally than any other company. Also, Navya, 2getthere, Local Motors, and Sensible4 are some of the companies that have developed, tested, and are offering autonomous shuttles. On the other hand, commercialization of intercity or intracity buses would take time due to challenges such as highway operation, long-distance, city traffic, lack of infrastructure (intracity coaches might require separate lane in the city and highway conditions), and government regulations.

“Asia Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing market during the forecast period”
The Asia Pacific region comprises countries, such as China, Japan, and South Korea, which have a technologically advanced automotive industry. The Chinese bus company, King Long, developed a self-driving shuttle with the autonomous platform by Baidu and started first-ever volume production of these shuttles in June 2018. As China, Japan, and South Korea are capable of adopting such technology and produce on mass-level, the region will have a significant market share in the autonomous bus market. Apart from these testing and trials, the region is heavily dependent on buses as a public transport medium. Thus, recent developments in autonomous technologies and quick adoption of the technology would help the Asia Pacific market to grow rapidly.

“North America is expected to be the largest market in the forecast period”
The North American region is projected to account for the largest share of the semi-autonomous bus market during the forecast period. It is home to OEMs, such as New Flyer, Gillig, Novabus, Bluebird, Thomas Built Buses, and Proterra, that are offering advanced buses in the region. The region is dominated by modern buses having ADAS features as standard or optional. OEMs in the country have been providing many semi-autonomous driving features such as AEB, BSD, and ACC. Also, the region is home to many technology companies that are exploring the autonomous driving technology with testing and trials across the region.

In-depth interviews were conducted with CEOs, marketing directors, other innovation and technology directors, and executives from various key organizations operating in this market.
• By Company Type: Tier I – 40%, Tier II – 42%, and Tier III – 18%
• By Designation: C Level – 57%, D Level – 29%, and Others – 14%
• By Region: North America – 39%, Europe – 33%, and Asia Pacific – 28%

The semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market comprises major manufacturers such as Continental (Germany) Bosch (Germany), Aptiv (UK), AB Volvo (Sweden), and Denso (Japan).

Research Coverage:
The market study covers the semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market size and future growth potential across different segments such as by propulsion type, application, ADAS feature, sensor, level of automation, and region. The study also includes an in-depth competitive analysis of the key players in the market, along with their company profiles, key observations related to product and business offerings, recent developments, and key market strategies.

Key Benefits of Buying the Report:
• The report will help market leaders/new entrants in this market with information on the closest approximations of revenue numbers for the overall semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market and its subsegments.
• This report will help stakeholders understand the competitive landscape and gain more insights to better position their businesses and plan suitable go-to-market strategies.
• The report also helps stakeholders understand the pulse of the market and provides them information on key market drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities.

【レポートの目次】

1 INTRODUCTION (Page No. – 19)
1.1 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION
1.2.1 INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.3 MARKET SCOPE
1.3.1 YEARS CONSIDERED FOR THE STUDY
1.4 PACKAGE SIZE
1.5 LIMITATIONS
1.6 STAKEHOLDERS

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY (Page No. – 23)
2.1 RESEARCH DATA
2.2 SECONDARY DATA
2.2.1 KEY SECONDARY SOURCES FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS & AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.2.2 KEY DATA FROM SECONDARY SOURCES
2.3 PRIMARY DATA
2.3.1 SAMPLING TECHNIQUES & DATA COLLECTION METHODS
2.3.2 PRIMARY PARTICIPANTS
2.4 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION
2.4.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH: SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.3 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.4.4 TOP-DOWN APPROACH: AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
2.5 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: RESEARCH DESIGN & METHODOLOGY
2.6 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ILLUSTRATION OF COMPANY-BASED REVENUE ESTIMATION
2.7 MARKET BREAKDOWN AND DATA TRIANGULATION
2.8 ASSUMPTIONS & ASSOCIATED RISKS

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (Page No. – 35)

4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS (Page No. – 41)
4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.2 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.3 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
4.4 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET GROWTH RATE, BY REGION
4.5 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE
4.6 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE-
4.7 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY APPLICATION
4.8 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY ADAS FEATURE
4.9 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
4.10 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
4.11 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VOLUME
4.12 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VALUE
4.13 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VOLUME
4.14 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE, BY VALUE

5 MARKET OVERVIEW (Page No. – 49)
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS
5.2.1 DRIVERS
5.2.1.1 Increasing emphasis on better road safety and traffic control
5.2.1.2 Economic effect of semi-autonomous and autonomous buses on the transport industry
5.2.2 RESTRAINTS
5.2.2.1 Cybersecurity and data security concerns
5.2.2.2 High cost of development
5.2.2.3 Lack of information technology and communication infrastructure in developing nations
5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES
5.2.3.1 Increasing demand for 5G technology for vehicle connectivity
5.2.3.2 Demand for fuel-efficient and emission-free buses
5.2.4 CHALLENGES
5.2.4.1 Tapping the untapped market
5.2.4.2 Legal and regulatory framework issues
5.3 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, SCENARIOS (2024–2030)
5.3.1 MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
5.3.2 OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO
5.3.3 PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO

6 INDUSTRY TRENDS (Page No. – 56)
6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.2 AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLE
6.3 PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL ANALYSIS
6.4 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
6.4.1 PLANNING AND REVISING FUNDS
6.4.2 AUTOMOTIVE COMPONENT SUPPLIERS
6.4.3 AV SOFTWARE AND SENSOR SUPPLIERS
6.4.4 OEMS
6.5 ECOSYSTEM OF AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
6.6 PATENT ANALYSIS
6.6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.6.2 PATENTS FILED
6.6.2.1 COUNTRY-WISE PATENT ANALYSIS
6.6.2.2 OEM-WISE PATENT ANALYSIS & DETAILS
6.6.3 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS
6.6.3.1 Case study on European automated bus/shuttle pilot projects
6.6.4 LIST OF ONGOING AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLE PILOT PROJECTS IN THE EUROPEAN REGION
6.6.4.1 Case study on Mcity Driverless Shuttle project

7 GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS & GUIDELINES FOR TESTING (Page No. – 64)
7.1 REGIONAL AND COUNTRY-LEVEL REGULATIONS/GUIDELINES RELATED TO THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS & AUTONOMOUS BUSES MARKET:
7.2 REGULATIONS RELATED TO AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLES AND BUSES
7.3 IMPACT OF CURRENT AND FUTURE REGULATIONS ON THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET

8 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY PROPULSION TYPE (Page No. – 67)
8.1 INTRODUCTION
8.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
8.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
8.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
8.3 DIESEL
8.3.1 DOMINANCE OF DIESEL BUSES IN PUBLIC TRANSPORT FLEETS ACROSS THE WORLD TO HELP NORTH AMERICA LEAD THE MARKET
8.4 ELECTRIC
8.4.1 ELECTRIC BUS OEMS OFFERING ADVANCED FEATURES, ESPECIALLY IN NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE
8.4.2 PRESENCE OF TECHNOLOGY PROVIDERS IN THE REGION TO HELP NORTH AMERICA LEAD THE SEGMENT
8.5 HYBRID
8.5.1 NORTH AMERICA IS PROJECTED TO DOMINATE THE HYBRID SEGMENT
8.5.2 INCREASING DEMAND FOR MORE EFFICIENT BUSSES WILL DOMINATE THE HYBRID SEGMENT
8.6 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

9 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY APPLICATION (Page No. – 75)
9.1 INTRODUCTION
9.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
9.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
9.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
9.3 SHUTTLE
9.3.1 DOMINATION OF EUROPEAN COMPANIES TO HELP THE REGION LEAD THE MARKET, AT LEAST INITIALLY
9.4 INTERCITY/INTRACITY
9.4.1 BUSES EQUIPPED WITH ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES DRIVING THE MARKET
9.5 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

10 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY ADAS FEATURE (Page No. – 80)
10.1 INTRODUCTION
10.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
10.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
10.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
10.3 ADAPTIVE CRUISE CONTROL (ACC)
10.3.1 REDUCTION IN FUEL CONSUMPTION DUE TO ACC WILL DRIVE ITS DEMAND
10.4 AUTOMATIC EMERGENCY BRAKING (AEB)
10.4.1 INCREASING DEMAND FOR SAFETY IN PUBLIC TRANSPORT WOULD BOOST THE AEB SEGMENT
10.5 BLIND SPOT DETECTION (BSD)
10.5.1 INCREASING NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS TO HELP THE BSD SEGMENT TO GROW
10.6 INTELLIGENT PARK ASSIST (IPA)
10.6.1 EASE OF PARKING IN CONGESTED PLACES SUCH AS BUS DEPOTS AND BUS STATIONS TO BENEFIT IPA IN THE FUTURE
10.7 LANE KEEP ASSIST (LKA)
10.7.1 HIGH DEMAND FOR SAFETY FEATURES TO MINIMIZE THE RATE OF ACCIDENTS ON HIGHWAYS WILL DRIVE THE NORTH AMERICAN MARKET
10.8 TRAFFIC JAM ASSIST (TJA)
10.8.1 RISING FOCUS ON BETTER ROAD SAFETY AND ADVANCED AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE THE NORTH AMERICAN MARKET
10.9 HIGHWAY PILOT (HP)
10.9.1 SHORT RANGE OBJECT DETECTION BY ULTRASONIC SENSORS WILL BOOST THE MARKET
10.10 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

11 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION (Page No. – 90)
11.1 INTRODUCTION
11.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
11.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
11.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
11.3 LEVEL 1
11.3.1 GOVERNMENT MANDATES FOR LEVEL 1 AUTOMATION WILL FUEL THE MARKET
11.4 LEVEL 2 & 3
11.4.1 UPGRADE OF MORE SAFETY FEATURES IN LEVEL 2 & 3 AUTOMATION WILL BOOST THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
11.5 AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY LEVEL OF AUTOMATION
11.6 LEVEL 4
11.6.1 INCREASING TREND OF LEVEL 4 AUTONOMOUS SHUTTLES TO DRIVE THE EUROPEAN AND NORTH AMERICAN MARKETS
11.7 LEVEL 5
11.7.1 NORTH AMERICA IS EXPECTED TO BE THE FIRST TO ADOPT LEVEL 5 AUTONOMOUS BUSES OR SHUTTLES
11.8 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

12 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY SENSOR TYPE (Page No. – 99)
12.1 INTRODUCTION
12.2 OPERATIONAL DATA
12.2.1 ASSUMPTIONS
12.2.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
12.3 CAMERA
12.3.1 OEMS OFFERING ADVANCED BUSES IN THE REGION TO BOOST THE NORTH AMERICAN REGION
12.4 RADAR
12.4.1 HIGH DEMAND FOR ACCURATE DATA WITH A PRECISE ANGULAR RESOLUTION DRIVING THE GROWTH OF RADAR SENSORS
12.5 LIDAR
12.5.1 ADAS APPLICATIONS SUPPORTED BY LIDAR WILL FUEL THE MARKET
12.6 ULTRASONIC
12.6.1 SHORT RANGE OBJECT DETECTION BY ULTRASONIC SENSORS WILL BOOST THE MARKET
12.7 KEY INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

13 SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET, BY REGION (Page No. – 113)
13.1 INTRODUCTION
13.1.1 INCREASING DEMAND FOR SAFE COMMERCIAL VEHICLES PROJECTED TO DRIVE THE MARKET
13.1.2 INCREASING DEMAND FOR EFFICIENT AND SAFE PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODE TO DRIVE THE MARKET
13.2 ASIA PACIFIC
13.2.1 CHINA
13.2.1.1 Large sales of advanced electric buses equipped with semi-autonomous driving features
13.2.2 JAPAN
13.2.2.1 Upcoming safety regulations will drive the Japanese semi-autonomous bus market
13.2.3 INDIA
13.2.3.1 Increasing government initiatives toward improving road safety to drive the Indian market
13.2.4 SOUTH KOREA
13.2.4.1 Mandating of FCW and LDW will fuel the South Korean market
13.3 EUROPE
13.3.1 PRESENCE OF LEADING TECHNOLOGY PROVIDERS IN THE REGION TO DRIVE THE EUROPEAN MARKET
13.3.2 FRANCE
13.3.2.1 Increasing trend of adoption of safe vehicles fueling the French market
13.3.3 GERMANY
13.3.3.1 Presence of leading bus OEMs to drive the German market
13.3.4 ITALY
13.3.4.1 Increasing vehicle safety concerns to drive the French market
13.3.5 SPAIN
13.3.5.1 Upcoming safety features mandate in the European region would boost the Spanish market as well
13.3.6 UK
13.3.6.1 Increasing initiatives from various institutions for installation of ADAS features will drive the UK market
13.4 NORTH AMERICA
13.4.1 THE US IS DRIVING AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE REGION
13.4.2 US
13.4.2.1 Increasing efforts from the government for the adoption of ADAS to reduce road crashes will drive the US market
13.4.3 CANADA
13.4.3.1 Increasing testing and trials in the country to drive the Canadian market
13.4.4 MEXICO
13.4.4.1 Increasing number of road crashes to drive the semi-autonomous bus market
13.5 REST OF THE WORLD
13.5.1 BRAZIL
13.5.1.1 The need to reduce traffic accidents will drive the market in Brazil
13.5.2 RUSSIA
13.5.2.1 Presence of companies investing and developing self-driving vehicles in Russia triggering the market

14 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE (Page No. – 135)
14.1 OVERVIEW
14.2 MARKET RANKING ANALYSIS FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.3 MARKET RANKING ANALYSIS FOR THE AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.4 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO
14.4.1 COLLABORATIONS/JOINT VENTURES/SUPPLY CONTRACTS/ PARTNERSHIPS/AGREEMENTS
14.4.2 NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS
14.4.3 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS, 2016–2017
14.4.4 EXPANSIONS, 2017–2019
14.5 COMPETITIVE LEADERSHIP MAPPING FOR THE SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
14.5.1 STARS
14.5.2 EMERGING LEADERS
14.5.3 PERVASIVE
14.5.4 EMERGING COMPANIES
14.6 STRENGTH OF PRODUCT PORTFOLIO
14.7 BUSINESS STRATEGY EXCELLENCE
14.8 WINNERS VS. TAIL-ENDERS

15 COMPANY PROFILES (Page No. – 147)
15.1 KEY PLAYERS
(Business overview, Products offered, Recent Developments, SWOT analysis, MNM view)*
15.1.1 AB VOLVO
15.1.2 BOSCH
15.1.3 CONTINENTAL
15.1.4 DENSO
15.1.5 APTIV
15.1.6 NVIDIA
15.1.7 DAIMLER
15.1.8 2GETTHERE (ZF)
15.1.9 LOCAL MOTORS (LM INDUSTRIES)
15.1.10 PROTERRA
15.1.11 EASYMILE
15.1.12 NAVYA-
*Details on Business overview, Products offered, Recent Developments, SWOT analysis, MNM view might not be captured in case of unlisted companies.
15.2 OTHER MAJOR PLAYERS
15.2.1 NORTH AMERICA
15.2.1.1 Qualcomm
15.2.1.2 Intel
15.2.1.3 Uber
15.2.2 EUROPE
15.2.2.1 Scania
15.2.2.2 NXP
15.2.2.3 IVECO
15.2.2.4 BMW
15.2.3 ASIA PACIFIC
15.2.3.1 Yutong

16 RECOMMENDATIONS BY MARKETSANDMARKETS (Page No. – 185)
16.1 NORTH AMERICA WILL BE A MAJOR SEMI-AUTONOMOUS AND AUTONOMOUS BUS MARKET
16.2 PUBLIC TRANSPORT SOLUTION CAN BE A KEY FOCUS FOR BUS OEMS
16.3 CONCLUSION



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